Tariff Cuts: From 110% to 10% Under Quota Limits
At the core is a generous quota of 250,000 vehicles per year for EU-origin cars, where duties drop significantly.
- Duties on qualifying vehicles fall from 110% to as low as 10% over a phased period (typically 5–10 years, with initial cuts to 30–35% upon implementation in many cases).
- The quota is six times larger than concessions in India’s recent UK FTA (37,000 units).
- Cars priced below approximately €15,000–€20,000 (roughly ₹15–20 lakh) are generally excluded and remain at higher tariffs.
- Higher-priced vehicles (above the threshold) are segmented into categories with separate quotas and tariff paths.
- Electric vehicles (EVs) see delayed benefits: tariff reductions begin from year five, with final quotas split (e.g., 160,000 ICE and 90,000 EVs in some breakdowns).
- No concessions on Completely Knocked Down (CKD) kits, preserving local assembly incentives.
- Imports outside the quota stay at full duties.
This TRQ mechanism allows controlled liberalization: European exporters get preferential access for a substantial but capped volume, preventing market flooding while giving them a competitive edge.
European Winners: Premium Brands Gain Momentum
European carmakers stand to benefit most immediately in the premium and luxury segments.
- German trio (BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi): High-end models could see effective price reductions of 50–70% within quota, making them far more competitive against local luxury assemblers.
- Volkswagen Group and Renault: Mid-to-premium offerings gain traction, supporting expansion plans in India.
- Stellantis and others: Potential for SUV and crossover growth.
Lower duties mean savings that can fund better marketing, dealer networks, or pricing strategies. Combined with eventual zero tariffs on many car parts (phased over 5–10 years), European firms can integrate Indian supply chains more deeply—reducing global production costs and enabling hybrid strategies (import premium models, assemble volume locally).The timing is critical: European automakers face U.S. tariffs, Chinese price wars, and domestic market saturation. India offers high-growth potential, with passenger vehicle sales expected to rise sharply.
Indian Market & Consumers: More Choice, Targeted Impact
Indian buyers in premium segments gain significantly. Luxury imports could become 30–50% cheaper within quota limits, fueling aspirational demand among the growing affluent class.
- Mass-market segments see minimal direct change.
- Domestic giants (Tata, Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai) face competition mainly in luxury/SUV niches, not volume categories.
- EV protections: Battery electric vehicles excluded initially for five years to safeguard local investments (Tata, Mahindra, etc.).
Overall, the market may see stimulated premium demand in 2026–2027, with renewed European focus on dealerships, service networks, and marketing.
Supply Chains, Investment, and Broader Effects
Safeguards and Challenges
Accelerating Bilateral Auto Ties
